On Sunday Susan Collins (R-ME) said she might vote for the sedition commission, with some reasonable changes that I think the Democrats have already agreed to. And yesterday evening, Mitt Romney (R-UT) said he's in, even without changes; he'd just vote for the bill as it stands now. Schumer needs every Democrat-- and I think he has that-- and 10 Republicans to pass it. I can't imagine where they're going to find 8 more after Collins and Romney. Not if McConnell is being heavy about it. Maybe Bill Cassidy will goo along. I'm sure Murkowski would like to... unless McConnell threatens to withhold campaign funds. But other than that? As I explained Sunday night... I hope I'm wrong, but I don't see it.
Why would McConnell care so much? We know he hates Trump and wishes him all the worst but... McConnell needs Trump to stop interfering in primaries against incumbents and needs his help-- or at least neutrality-- with fundraising. He doesn't want Trump sending out more messages to MAGA-world to not contribute to the NRSC.
Last night, writing for The Hill, Alexander Bolton reported that NRSC chair Rick Scott was in Trump Tower in NYC for an hour or so "pleading" with Señor Trumpanzee to support Senate incumbents in the 2022 midterm elections. Fat chance! "Trump," wrote Bolton, "has welcomed primary challengers to Republicans he views as disloyal." And he views many people beyond just Lisa Murkowski-- the only incumbent who voted to convict him who is up for reelection (and who Trump will absolutely campaign against-- that Trump doesn't like. He endorsed Rubio, but Rubio is a shoo-in for the GOP nomination and Trump likes to take credit for things that would have happened without him. And he's urging a loyal cretin, Ron Johnson (WI) to run again. Most Wisconsin Democrats hope Trump persuades him because they feel Johnson is ultra-vulnerable, in part because he has worked so hard to back Trump by unmooring himself from reality.
But Trump would like to help defeat John Thune (R-SD), McConnell's second-in-command, and he has urged the state's Trumpist governor, Kristi Noem to primary him.
Asked if Trump committed to backing all Senate GOP incumbents next year, Scott said: “They’re all talking to him-- well, I don’t know if all of them are.”
“He’s endorsed most of them,” he said, referring to expectations that Trump will back most Senate Republicans up for re-election.
Scott and Trump, however, did not discuss Alaska, where Murkowski is running for a fifth term.
"Few people know where they’ll be in two years from now, but I do, in the Great State of Alaska (which I love) campaigning against Senator Lisa Murkowski," Trump tweeted last year.
"Get any candidate ready, good or bad, I don’t care, I’m endorsing. If you have a pulse, I’m with you!" he added.
...Scott says he expects Thune to run for re-election next year despite Trump’s opposition and the retirement plans of two other members of Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell's leadership team: Sens. Rob Portman (R-OH) and Roy Blunt (R-MO).
“I’d be surprised if he didn’t,” he said.
No one is talking to the press about the chances of Trump campaigning in open seats against the NRSC preferred candidates. There are some really insane sociopaths-- all Trumpists-- running each of whom could be beaten by Democrats if they are perceived as too extreme by independents and swing voters. States McConnell is most worried about-- besides Alaska of course-- are Georgia, Missouri, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Arizona.
McConnell is especially concerned about Missouri, where 2 certifiably insane Trumpists, Mark McCloskey and Eric Greitens, are real contenders-- and would jeopardize what should be a safe Senate seat. There is also a lot of concern that Trump's daughter-in-law, Lara, could ruin Republican chances to win the open North Carolina seat. McConnell is desperate to keep Trump out of these races. Good luck with that!