Why India Will Likely Ally With China, Not With U.S.

-by Eric Zuesse

India-- like the USA that used-to-be-- was born out of a revolution (in 1776 in U.S.; in 1947 in India) against imperialism (in fact, against British imperialism, the very same master; i.e., enemy; as the American public had and-- ever since 1945-- still has, though this time in the form of a united UK-&-U.S. Deep-State aristocracy, who control the U.S. Government, behind the scenes). The world is now splitting-up, into two. One side is the pro-imperialist (or “neocon”) side (the conquerors of Iraq, Libya, Ukraine, Guatemala, and many other countries), which includes all of the Axis Powers during WW II (Germany, Italy, and Japan), plus almost all of the other EU nations, plus Israel, plus almost all of the Western-Hemisphere countries. It’s headed (behind the scenes) by the U.S.-and-UK billionaires. On the opposite side are the nations that the imperialist nations (the united fascist billionaires) target. They are: China, Russia, Iran, and their allies, all of which targeted nations are ideologically committed anti-imperialist nations.

Therefore, virtually all wars and coups after WW II have been wars and coups by the U.S. and its allies, to conquer (take control over) additional nations (nations that hadn’t yet buckled to them). That (the aggressiveness of the imperialist nations) is just a historical fact, about the world during the years after 1944, and it is now driving the remaining targeted nations (principally China, Russia, and Iran) toward closer-and-closer cooperation amongst themselves, so that if WW III happens, then it will be between the imperialist nations on the one side, versus the anti-imperialist nations on the other. It would be a nuclear-war-updated version of the WW II Axis (pro-imperialist) nations versus the Allied (anti-imperialist) ones. (Churchill was imperialist, but he was forced by FDR to suppress his imperialism during WW II. Truman instead adopted Churchill’s imperialism.) All of the former Axis powers (Germany, Italy, and Japan) would then be led by the Rhodesist UK-U.S.-Israel team.

Given this reality, India has recently been tending to get off the ideological fence that it has been sitting on ever since 1947, to side increasingly with its fellow-anti-imperialist nations. If it finally (decisively) does so, then that would become the most momentous blow yet against the Rhodesist UK-U.S.-Zionist joint global empire ever since the UK itself lost India on 15 August 1947. India would then no longer be “neutralist.” It would instead become an additional enemy of the imperialist powers. It would become allied with China, Russia, and Iran, against the imperialist powers-- including, finally, at long last, against the UK, which was India’s former master.

For a long time, I was hesitating to say that India seems likely to go with the anti-imperialists, because the indications that India was trending in this direction concerned only recent decisions by its Government, not anything that’s rooted deeply in Indian public opinion which would separately indicate deepseated cultural support, ideological Indian-cultural support, for any such radically new commitment by its Government-- a geostrategic earthquake-in-the-making, in the world’s second-most-populous nation. But, finally, I believe that I have found that ideological-cultural support to exist, in India, and will describe here the evidence for it.

I should start by noting that I had wrongly predicted, on 1 August 2020, that “India and Brazil Are Now the Global Worst Coronavirus Nations”, and I had based that false forecast for India upon (regarding covid-policy-effectiveness) “The key isn’t so much the healthcare system, as it is the public health system. And that’s quite evidently poor in all three of the worst-performing countries: India, Brazil, and U.S.” However, UNLIKE the U.S. and Brazil, India has turned out to have a far better public-health system than I knew. That’s because India has a population who respect their Government. Respect for the Government is a sine-qua-non, essential, in order for any public-health system to be able to function effectively. Without it, the public won’t trust their Government’s public-health requirements (such as masking, vaccinations, etc.) to protect them against a pandemic. But, as things have subsequently turned out, the Indian people DO trust their Government, almost as much as the people in China do.

On 9 December 2021, Morning Consult Polls headlined “The U.S. has a lower vaccination-rate than any other country tracked besides Russia.” China and India had the highest percentages of willing, the lowest percentage who said that they are “unwilling” to be vaccinated, in all of the 15 surveyed countries. Earlier, Morning Consult had headlined, on 15 July 2021, “The U.S. has a higher rate of vaccine opposition than any country tracked besides Russia.” (The questions had been identical in both surveys.) China and India turned out to have the highest vaccination-rates. Each polling had surveyed 75,000 “nationally representative samples of adults. (In India, the sample is representative of the literate population).” (Illiterates are especially difficult to survey, anywhere.) The 9 December polling showed only 1% each in China and India to be “unwilling” to be vaccinated, and it found 87% of Chinese having already been “vaccinated”, and 86% of Indians having been “vaccinated.” In Russia, where the vaccination-opposition was the highest, 20% were “unwilling” and 43% had been “vaccinated.” In America-- the second-worst performer on this factor-- 19% were “unwilling” (19 times higher than China’s 1%) and 67% had been “vaccinated.” In the 15 July polling report, 30% of Russians had said they were “unwilling,” and 19% of Americans did. 2% did in each of China and India. The opponents to vaccination seem to be the most-solidly implacable anywhere-- 19%, in both pollings-- in America.

Previous polls have shown that, whereas Russia’s President, Putin, is highly trusted, Russia’s Government is not. So: Russia is a mixed bag, partly like America, and partly like China (where both the leader, Xi, and the Government, are enormously trusted). Russia has turned out to have been performing, on both disease-cases and disease-deaths, better than U.S. but not nearly as well as either China or India. Vladimir Putin came into power in Russia in 2000 committed to undoing the Americanization of his country as much as possible, but he never undid its libertarianism and therefore Russia’s covid performance is turning out to be nearer to U.S. than to China. In this sense, India, which has also become much Americanized, might actually now be moving away from America at a faster clip now than is Russia. This would put India closer to the anti-imperialist bloc.

What is important in those polls is that they display a deeper-rooted socialism in India than in Russia. (America is rather extremely toward the libertarian/neoliberal pole of ideology, which is opposite to socialism. Almost all developed countries are more socialistic than is America.) Perhaps Russia’s having once HAD an empire, whereas India did not, is the reason why India is now moving more clearly now toward the anti-imperialist bloc, which is being led by China, Russia, and Iran.

Additionally confirming those hypotheses is the “Edelman Trust Barometer 2021” which surveyed in 27 nations. One subhead in it is “A TRUST RECKONING FOR CHINA AND THE U.S.” It showed that the highest 3 nations on overall trust in the country’s various institutions, in both 2020 and 2021, were: India, China, and Indonesia, all at 72% to 82%. U.S. scored in the bottom 30% of nations, #19 in 2020 at 47%, and #21 in 2021 at 48%. Japan was in the bottom 10%, at #25 (42%) in 2020, and #26 (40%) in 2021. The Edelman rankings also showed that the highest 4 nations (in the 74%-80% range) on “Willing to vaccinate” were, in order from the top: India, Brazil, Mexico, and China. U.S. was #20, at 59%. Japan was #24 at 54%. Russia was #27 (last) at 40%. The global average on this was 64%.

Specifically trust in the Government, in those 27 nations, was the highest in #s 1 and 2 tied, being China and Saudi Arabia (82%), #3 UAE (80%), and #4 India (79%). U.S. was #19 (42%). Japan was #22 (37%). Russia was #24 (34%). South Africa was #27 (and at 27%).

What does this mean for how effectively the various countries have been dealing with the the current global pandemic, covid-19-- both disease-cases, and diseased-deaths? Let’s just take the top-trusted Government, China, and compare it to a low-trusted one, America: You will see the comparisons right here. They will shock just about everyone. So, this likewise explains why I have needed to come up with a new explanation for India’s covid-performance having turned out to be, though not nearly comparable to China’s, nonetheless substantially BETTER than America’s (which I did not expect).

Russia has BECOME anti-imperialist due to America’s increasing attempt (along with its NATO) to conquer it, but India is increasingly becoming anti-imperialist. Russians and Chinese are anti-imperialist by urgent necessity, in order to protect their nationhood or sovereignty over their own territory, which the imperialists covet. However, India is becoming anti-imperialist now because of the UK-U.S. (Rhodesist empire) now forcing the world to choose-up “sides.” (This is happening in regard to the imperialists trying to break Taiwan offfrom China, and trying to force Donbass back into Ukraine.) Fence-sitting won’t, any longer, be allowed by the imperialists. They demand a commitment, or a stronger commitment, to the imperialist bloc.

The big barrier to India’s decisively joining the anti-imperialist side (including China) is a 2009 India-China border-conflict in a mutually contested region, Arunachal Pradesh. However, on 2 December 2019, the Financial Express headlined “Exercise Hand-in-Hand 2019: Troops from India, China to conduct joint drill this week”, and reported that throughout the following decade, the two countries had been increasing their mutual trust. In addition to this, the still-contested region has only around a million population and isn’t of geostrategic significance; so, if it were to stand in the way of India’s Government decisively joining the anti-imperialist side, then China’s Government would be foolish not to simply tell India’s, “Fine, that’s part of your territory.” With that minor concession, China could effectively win India as being a member of their team, against the global aggressors. But things seem to be drifting that way anyway. However and whenever India’s Government might happen to make that decision, it would be a wrenching break away from the deep cultural roots that England’s empire had planted in Indian culture, ever since 1614, when the world’s first stock company (which had been formed in 1600), the British East India Company, started to take control over India, which ultimately meant also to train India’s aristocracy in the English language and customs, so as to make them representatives of the British monarch. This would be the final divorce of India from Britain’s aristocracy. And, of course, China already went through that divorce when Mao beat-out Chiang Kai-shek for control over China, in 1949, which was a huge defeat against the Rhodesists.

Another factor that would need to be overcome is that in 2007, the neoconservative leader of Japan Shinzo Abe proposed that a pro-U.S., anti-China, Pacific-Ocean equivalent of NATO be formed, and it was created as “The Quad”, with Japan, Australia, India, and U.S., as the members. However, it’s far less formal than NATO, and easier to break up or end than NATO is; and the tendencies after that time have been for the Quad to be so unimportant so that in 2021, a different grouping-- Australia, UK, and U.S.-- formed a more strictly Rhodesist military alliance, “AUKUS”, which is therefore culturally deeper-rooted, and doesn’t have India as a member. Its lack of India could be a harbinger of the Quad’s ultimate termination and replacement by AUKUS. (Japan sought to join AUKUS, but wasn’t included.)

The stark covid-policy differences between, on the one hand, China and India, versus, on the other, America and its NATO-and-Japanese-and-Australian allies, might be the canary-in-the-coal-mine indicator of WHICH WAY GEOSTRATEGIC FENCE-SITTERS (such as India) WILL GO. Independent countries where the population trust their Government will tend to go with the anti-imperialists, while independent countries that don’t (such as Ukraine) will tend to side (as Ukraine did in 2014, due to Obama’s coup) with the fascists(who, after Hitler, are and have been solidly in the Rhodesist camp).