Trump was at it again on Wednesday-- demanding conservative Georgia Governor Brian Kemp (R) resign, "escalating," reported the Washington Post, "his criticism of a fellow Republican who has refused to intervene in the state’s presidential election or embrace Trump’s baseless claims of widespread fraud." Trump's efforts seem to be demoralizing Georgia Republicans and driving Democratic turnout-- which is through the roof-- with historically high early voting (2.5 million) that has already surpassed every previous Georgia runoff in history.
Even Republican Party polling firm, Trafalgar, finds Ossoff and Warnock on the verge of unseating the two GOP incumbents keeping a much-hated Mitch McConnell in place as Majority Leader:
A less biased polling firm, JMC Analytics, shows Ossoff and Warnock winning by significantly bigger numbers, outside the margin of error.
Warnock- 53%
Loeffler- 44%
Undecided- 3%
Ossoff- 50%
Perdue- 43%
Undecided- 7%
More people have already voted than in any previous runoff including day-of votes! "Democrats," wrote James Arkin, "are buoyed by the strong early vote numbers, which show Black voters making up a larger percentage of the electorate than in November and higher early turnout in Democratic congressional districts in the state. Both are positive signs for Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock, the two challengers, easing fears that the typical voter dropoff that has plagued Democrats in past years would doom the party's chances with control of the Senate on the line. Meanwhile, early-vote turnout has lagged in Republican-held congressional districts, likely leaving GOP Sens. Kelly Loeffler and David Perdue with a larger deficit heading into Election Day than they had to make up on Nov. 3, with early voting concluding this week leading up to the New Year's holiday."
Perdue and Loeffler "are relying on Trump to juice turnout" on Tuesday. But will he? On Monday, Trump will host a spreader-spreader rally in Dalton, Whitfield County. Whitfield County in the northwest corner of the state but it is one of the big centers of Q-Anon Nation, having just helped elect Q-Anon lunatic Marjorie Taylor Greene to Congress. A strong Latin presence in Dalton helped keep Trump's numbers down this year, although he still beat Biden 4,839 (54.12%) to 3,976 (44.46%) The county itself is far redder and Trump took 69.7% of the county-wide vote. Q-Anon Central, Whitfield is one of the best places to catch COVID in the country and a center of infection for the Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee area. People would rather die than wear masks or social distance. Whitfield County is one of only two counties in Georgia with over 10,000 cases per 100,000 residents. You can probably understand why the morons there elected the first Q-Anon member of Congress. In fact, a strong case can be made that Whitfield County has the lowest collective IQ of any county in America-- so perfect for Trump's final rally of the year. He hopes to drive turnout for Perdue and Loeffler. These are the 8 counties expected to send the most morons to Trump's rally Monday-- along with what percentage each county gave Trump in November and how many COVID-19 cases there are per 100,000 residents:
Catoosa- 77.2%-- 4,571 cases per 100,000 residents
Chattooga- 80.2%-- 5,942 cases per 100,000 residents
Dade- 81.6%-- 4,232 cases per 100,000 residents
Gilmer- 81.3%-- 4,976 cases per 100,000 residents
Gordon- 80.7%-- 6,796 cases per 100,000 residents
Murray 84.1%-- 6,230 cases per 100,000 residents
Pickens- 82.1%-- 4,366 cases per 100,000 residents
Walker- 78.9%-- 5,160 cases per 100,000 residents
Whitfield- 69.7%-- 10,011 cases per 100,000 residents
Arkin reported that "One Republican operative working on the runoffs, who requested anonymity to speak frankly, said the GOP’s problem for early voting wasn’t a massive surge among Democrats, but the lag in their own areas. With early voting taking place during the holidays, including the two days where locations were closed last week, Republicans hope more of their voters are simply planning to vote on Election Day... Tom Bonier, the CEO of TargetSmart, said the vote so far among key Democratic constituencies was a “very good sign” for the party, though he cautioned against over-interpreting the early vote to try to predict the outcome of the runoffs. 'We know they'll win Election Day, but will they have enough to erase this advantage?' Bonier said of Republicans. 'It appears to be pretty clear that they'll need to win Election Day by a wider margin than they did in November.'
As of the December 16 FEC reporting deadline, these are the figures raised by each candidate:
Ossoff- $138,257,050
Perdue- 89,125840
Warnock- $124,278,473
Loeffler- 92,135,745 (including $23,678,492 of her own personal fortune)
Outside groups spending the most money (over a million dollars) include:
McConnell's Senate Leadership Fund on behalf of Perdue- $92,572,290
American Crossroads on behalf of Loeffler- $45,995,194
Schumer's Senate Majority PAC on behalf of Ossoff- $31,515,713
Peachtree PAC on behalf of Loeffler- $18,922,750
Peachtree PAC on behalf of Perdue- $18,922,750
Georgia Honor on behalf of Warnock- $18,293,995
Koch's Americans For Prosperity on behalf of Perdue- $17,950,919
Georgia United Victory of behalf of Loeffler- $17,342,302
NRSC on behalf of Perdue- $13,059,209
The Georgia Way on behalf of Ossoff- $12,435,046
NRSC on behalf of Loeffler- $8,717,200
American Bridge on behalf of Warnock- $4,556,676
Black PAC on behalf of Warnock- $4,817,885
Georgia Action Fund on behalf of Perdue- $4,609,093
Black PAC on behalf of Ossoff- $4,523,585
DSCC on behalf os Ossoff- $4,365,619
VoteVets.org on behalf on Ossoff- $4,242,271
DSCC on behalf of Warnock- $4,045,143
RNC on behalf of Perdue- $3,774,816
RNC of behalf of Loeffler- $3,346,078
McConnell's Senate Leadership Fund on behalf of Loeffler- $3,337,057
National Victory Action Fund on behalf of Perdue- $3,280,225
NRA on belief of Perdue- $3,266,424
American Bridge on behalf of Ossoff- $3,027,498
National Association of Realtors on behalf of Perdue- $2,800,807
Georgia United Victory on behalf of Perdue- $2,556,521
National Victory Action on behalf of Loeffler- $2,530,225
NRA on behalf of Loeffler- $2,517,393
Club for Growth on behalf of Loeffler- $2,251,068
Club for Growth on behalf of Perdue- $2,251,068
Take Back 2020 on behalf of Warnock- $2,172,608
Take Back 2020 on behalf of Ossoff- $2,172,608
Women Speak Out PAC on behalf of Loeffler- $1,960,656
Women Speak Out PAC on behalf of Perdue- $1,957,656
Majority Forward on behalf of Warnock- $1,728,808
Majority Forward on behalf of Ossoff- $1,728,808
End Spending Action Fund on behalf of Loeffler- $1,426,473
End Spending Action Fund on behalf of Perdue- $1,426,473
Schumer's Senate Majority PAC on behalf of Warnock- $1,249,144
Georgia Balance on behalf of Loeffler- $1,220,000
Georgia Balance on behalf of Perdue- $1,220,000
Protect Freedoms PAC (personal PAC of Libertarian Wall Street criminal Jeff Yass) on behalf of Loeffler- $1,156,068
Protect Freedoms PAC (personal PAC of Libertarian Wall Street criminal Jeff Yass) on behalf of Perdue- $1,156,068
MoveOn.com on behalf of Warnock- $1,147,205
Senate Conservatives Fund on behalf of Perdue- $1,103,706
AFSCME on behalf of Ossoff- $1,042,315
American Bankers Association on behalf of Perdue- $1,000,000
The moat important thing?
