New York's a pretty blue state and even a really crap politicians with a "D" next to their name can count on winning. Both the states senators are Democrats. 19 of the 27 members of Congress are Democrats-- and one of the Republicans, Claudia Tenney, won by 109 votes out of over 300,000 cast. Statewide, Biden beat Trump 5,244,886 (60.9%) to 3,251,997 (37.7%). Every constitutional officer is a Democrat. The 150 seat state Assembly includes just 43 Republicans and the 63-seat Senate has just 20 Republicans. The last time New Yorkers voted for a non-incumbent Republican for the U.S. Senate was back in 1970 when James Buckley (technically a Conservative, not a Republican) beating appointed liberal Republican Charles Goodell and liberalish Democrat Richard Ottinger.
James Buckley (C)- 2,288,190 (38.75%)
Richard Ottinger (D)- 2,171,232 (36.77%)
Charles Goodell (R)- 1,434,472 (24.29%)
The last time New Yorkers voted for a non-incumbent Republican for governor was in 1994. Even the crappiest imaginable Democrat-- oh, take Andrew Cuomo-- was reelected (for a third term in 2018) 59.6% to 36.2%. This time Cuomo may be vulnerable for two reasons:
Who really wants a 4 term governor?
Cuomo will have a tough time winning independent voters because people now understand how terrible and failed he is both as a person and as a political leader
So-- like in the California gubernatorial recall, which is basically the same kind of race-- the GOP is outdoing itself in looking for a candidate who will make even more people puke than Cuomo (or Newsom). It should be noted that 2 progressives, state Senator Alessandra Biaggi and NYC Public Advocate Jumaane Williams, have talked about primarying Cuomo. Until today, there were 3 vaguely credible Republicans who had already declared: failed 2014 GOP nominee Rob Astorino, Lewis County (pop- 26,447) sheriff Mike Carpinelli and Trumpist Suffolk County Congressman Lee Zeldin. Billionaire grocer and radio station owner John Catsimatidis has also been talking about running.
And then this morning, the son of a joke, Andrew Giuliani declared his candidacy. Giuliani is 35 years old and has never run for office but was appointed to some sinecure by Trump and, more recently, flaps his lips on Newsmax regularly. He launched a campaign website today with nothing on it but a bio, which included silliness like this: "For New Yorkers, Andrew helped to preserve thousands of MTA jobs by facilitating CARES Act funding,” Giuliani's website says, referring to his time working as an aide under former President Donald Trump. “He also worked with the Treasury Department and Health and Human Services to ensure that the $3.9 million that had been inadvertently taken out of the 9/11 First Responders Fund over thirteen years and three administrations was completely refunded." On hearing the news this morning former Orlando Congressman Alan Grayson quipped, "I'm sick and tired of hearing people who carry an umbrella in the rain run for office claiming they thwarted the thunder." A top New York political operative told me he thinks Giuliani, Jr. has a chance to do well in Staten Island but "nowhere else."
Giuliani, Jr said "Outside of anybody named Trump, I think I have the best chance to win and take the state back, and I think there's an opportunity in 2022 with a wounded Democratic candidate, whether it's going to be Gov. Cuomo, whether it's going to be a radical Letitia James, whether it's going to be a no-name lieutenant governor, I think there's a very, very real chance to win."
Giuliani, Jr., who has a much higher opinion of himself than anyone else does, told the right-wing NY Post that "I’m a politician out of the womb. It’s in my DNA. Giuliani vs. Cuomo. Holy smokes. Its Muhammad Ali vs. Joe Frazier. We can sell tickets at Madison Square Garden... I know we can defeat Andrew Cuomo in 2022. I am going to be the 57th governor of New York."
Andrew said his dad is on board with his campaign and some of his father’s top longtime advisers are helping, including Jakes Menges and Heather Powers McBride, both of whom Andrew has known since childhood.
Giuliani also spoke to Trump, but the ex-president isn’t taking sides because he is also fond of Zeldin.
But he said Trump “absolutely” encouraged him to run to bring attention and excitement into the GOP primary.
“President Trump certainly understands the importance of a strong primary,” he said.
In response to critics who may question his qualifications and experience, Giuliani said being in the White House fishbowl under Trump and learning from his father has prepared him for the governorship.
“My four years in the White House has prepared me for this moment,” he said.
He said he interacted with corporate CEOs to promote Trump’s actions to slash business regulations and the COVID-19 Payroll Protection Program, as well as fixing shortfalls with funding in Sept. 11 health fund benefits.
Giuliani also worked with the White House task force to curb opioid abuse.
He said he embraces Trump’s record and accomplishments.
“I am not going to run away from who I am and what I’ve done. I worked for four years in the Trump White House,” Giuliani said.