A Record El Niño Is Coming

Thomas Neuburger
6 hours ago
2 min read

*Source: climateanalyzer.org. Click to expand.*

By Thomas Neuburger

One of the beats we cover in these world-historical days is the coming climate “event,” what one of our science fiction writers is calling The Jackpot (for more on that term, see here and here).

Our latest update is this, a daily look at global sea surface temperature for each year from 1982 through 2026. Guess who’s the star of the show — our own year, 2026. Get ready for new records to break.

We’re headed for the moon with this one, a major El Niño affecting the next two years. Climate scientist James Hansen has written about this earlier:

Another El Nino Already? What Can We Learn from It? Abstract. The world seems headed into another El Nino, just 3 years after the last one. Such quick return normally would imply, at most, an El Nino of moderate strength, but we suggest that even a moderately strong El Nino may yield record global temperature already in 2026 and still greater temperature in 2027. The extreme warming will be a result mainly of high climate sensitivity and a recent increase of the net global climate forcing, not the result of an exceptional El Nino, per se.

Note: “not the result of an exceptional El Nino, per se.” This means both a) this will be an exceptional El Niño, and b) we can’t blame the next two years of record high temperatures on that fact alone.

Trouble ahead? I think so. Did I mention that global warming has accelerated? Just keeping you up to date.